Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | LAS -163 MASS +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +14 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | LAS -0.5 (+13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -0.5 (+14.5) | 141.4 (+16.6) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -1.2 (+12.8) | 144.9 (+13.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -1.0 (+13.0) | 144.6 (+13.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -0.6 (+13.4) | 143.8 (+14.2) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAS 78 – 71 MASS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MASS 78 – 55 LAS |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MASS 82 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAS 82 – 81 MASS |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 65 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#232) | -0.5 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#206) | 0.24 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#235) | 0.26 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#191) | 0.524 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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