Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
| Money | LAS +222 MASS -278 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +1 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -7.6 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -7.1 (+8.1) | 150.8 (+12.2) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -5.9 (+6.9) | 150.4 (+12.6) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -6.5 (+7.5) | 153.1 (+9.9) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -7.0 (+8.0) | 153.3 (+9.7) | 27% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAS 78 – 71 MASS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MASS 78 – 55 LAS |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MASS 82 – 60 LAS |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 65 LAS |
| Feb 11, 2023 | LAS 86 – 72 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#236) | 7.1 (#83) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#224) | 0.97 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#230) | 1.33 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#240) | 0.563 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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