Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | LAS -125 MASS +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +23 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | LAS -1.8 (-24.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-23.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -0.6 (-23.6) | 154.2 (-21.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -1.4 (-24.4) | 148.6 (-15.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -0.7 (-23.7) | 149.8 (-16.8) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -0.6 (-23.6) | 153.1 (-20.1) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAS 78 – 71 MASS |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MASS 82 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAS 82 – 81 MASS |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 65 LAS |
| Feb 11, 2023 | LAS 86 – 72 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-8 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#211) | -1.2 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#159) | -0.41 (#211) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#180) | -0.41 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#131) | 0.480 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 28.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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