Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | MASS -165 LAS +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +7 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | MASS -1.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -1.5 (-8.5) | 144.6 (+4.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -0.3 (-6.7) | 140.9 (+8.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -0.1 (-6.9) | 141.2 (+7.8) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -0.2 (-7.2) | 144.1 (+4.9) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2025 | MASS 78 – 55 LAS |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MASS 82 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAS 82 – 81 MASS |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 65 LAS |
| Feb 11, 2023 | LAS 86 – 72 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#206) | -3.6 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#224) | -0.36 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#209) | -0.64 (#217) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#236) | 0.490 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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