Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -145 LAS +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +22 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -0.3 (+21.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (-21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -1.4 (+20.6) | 156.9 (-14.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -0.4 (+21.6) | 156.0 (-14.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -0.4 (+21.6) | 157.3 (-15.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -0.2 (+21.8) | 158.8 (-16.8) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAS 78 – 71 MASS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MASS 78 – 55 LAS |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAS 82 – 81 MASS |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 65 LAS |
| Feb 11, 2023 | LAS 86 – 72 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 75.5 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#222) | -0.3 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#232) | 0.55 (#123) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#243) | 0.20 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#233) | 0.541 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.4 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.