Betting Lines
| Spread | MASS -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MASS -400 LAS +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MASS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +16 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | MASS -14.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.4 (-14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MASS -11.2 (+4.8) | 153.1 (-7.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MASS -13.0 (+3.0) | 151.9 (-5.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MASS -12.3 (+3.7) | 152.3 (-6.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MASS -13.2 (+2.8) | 153.4 (-7.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2025 | LAS 78 – 71 MASS |
| Feb 9, 2025 | MASS 78 – 55 LAS |
| Jan 19, 2025 | MASS 82 – 60 LAS |
| Feb 17, 2024 | LAS 82 – 81 MASS |
| Feb 11, 2023 | LAS 86 – 72 MASS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MASS | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 4-6 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#68) | -2.3 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#109) | 0.32 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#97) | 0.07 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.558 (#82) | 0.493 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MASS | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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