Betting Lines
| Spread | UNC -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UNC -333 CLEM +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNC +20 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | UNC -7.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNC -5.9 (+14.1) | 147.6 (+14.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNC -6.6 (+13.4) | 146.6 (+15.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNC -5.6 (+14.4) | 146.6 (+15.4) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNC -5.7 (+14.3) | 145.2 (+16.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLEM 80 – 79 UNC |
| Mar 4, 2026 | UNC 67 – 63 CLEM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CLEM 85 – 65 UNC |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CLEM 80 – 76 UNC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UNC 65 – 55 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNC | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 15-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 10.8 (#39) | 6.8 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#50) | 1.74 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.50 (#37) | 1.96 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#36) | 0.559 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNC | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.1% | 46.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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