Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -195 UNC +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +20 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -4.2 (+15.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -5.9 (+14.1) | 147.7 (+2.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -5.7 (+14.3) | 149.2 (+0.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -5.9 (+14.1) | 150.0 (+0.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -5.4 (+14.6) | 149.9 (+0.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLEM 80 – 79 UNC |
| Mar 4, 2026 | UNC 67 – 63 CLEM |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CLEM 80 – 76 UNC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UNC 65 – 55 CLEM |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UNC 91 – 71 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 9-3 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 80.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#33) | 13.0 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#33) | 2.04 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#33) | 2.56 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#25) | 0.607 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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