Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UNC +114 CLEM -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +1 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | UNC -2.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (+20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNC -3.8 (-4.8) | 137.4 (+21.6) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNC -3.6 (-4.6) | 135.7 (+23.3) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNC -3.8 (-4.8) | 135.4 (+23.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNC -3.0 (-4.0) | 135.8 (+23.2) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | UNC 67 – 63 CLEM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CLEM 85 – 65 UNC |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CLEM 80 – 76 UNC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UNC 65 – 55 CLEM |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UNC 91 – 71 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNC | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 18-0 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#25) | 14.3 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#15) | 2.48 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#22) | 3.03 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#8) | 0.588 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNC | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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