Betting Lines
| Spread | UNC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UNC -155 CLEM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNC +4 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UNC -5.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNC -6.3 (-2.3) | 142.5 (-12.5) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNC -6.3 (-2.3) | 142.7 (-12.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNC -6.0 (-2.0) | 139.9 (-9.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNC -6.2 (-2.2) | 141.9 (-11.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLEM 80 – 79 UNC |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CLEM 85 – 65 UNC |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CLEM 80 – 76 UNC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UNC 65 – 55 CLEM |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UNC 91 – 71 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNC | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 18-0 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#26) | 14.5 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#18) | 2.45 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#23) | 3.01 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#7) | 0.588 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNC | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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