Betting Lines
| Spread | UNC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | UNC -300 CLEM +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +4 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | UNC -9.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNC -8.6 (-12.6) | 149.4 (+6.6) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNC -9.1 (-13.1) | 150.4 (+5.6) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNC -8.7 (-12.7) | 152.4 (+3.6) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNC -8.2 (-12.2) | 150.3 (+5.7) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLEM 80 – 79 UNC |
| Mar 4, 2026 | UNC 67 – 63 CLEM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CLEM 85 – 65 UNC |
| Jan 6, 2024 | UNC 65 – 55 CLEM |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UNC 91 – 71 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNC | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-2 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 7-5 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 77.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 18.3 (#10) | 12.0 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#6) | 2.09 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.10 (#4) | 2.82 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.639 (#9) | 0.606 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNC | CLEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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