Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM -145 UNC +122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNC +10 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | CLEM -2.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.9 (-40.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -2.5 (-12.5) | 159.0 (-39.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -2.6 (-12.6) | 153.4 (-33.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -3.6 (-13.6) | 157.4 (-37.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -3.1 (-13.1) | 157.2 (-37.2) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | CLEM 80 – 79 UNC |
| Mar 4, 2026 | UNC 67 – 63 CLEM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | CLEM 85 – 65 UNC |
| Feb 7, 2024 | CLEM 80 – 76 UNC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UNC 91 – 71 CLEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 29-8 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 17-3 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 7-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 81.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#20) | 15.9 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.50 (#7) | 2.50 (#25) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.32 (#8) | 3.63 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.687 (#2) | 0.622 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.64 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.2% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 32.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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