That's where you'll find me, along with the lovers muggers and thieves - but they're cool people. "Dirty Water" - The Standells
Southeastern Conference · The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · February 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread MISS -9.5 Away covered
O/U 133.5 Under
Money MISS -500 / SC +333
Model Predictions
Spread Total MISS win
Actual SC +3 125 Lost
Massey MISS -13.5 (-16.5) — —
Massey Totals — 130.9 (-5.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 82% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 91% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MISS -10.1 (-13.1) 136.8 (-11.8) 84% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MISS -9.6 (-12.6) 137.3 (-12.3) 82% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML MISS -10.8 (-13.8) 137.7 (-12.7) 85% ✗
Baseline ML MISS -10.4 (-13.4) 139.5 (-14.5) 83% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 SC 64 – 61 MISS
Feb 13, 2025 MISS 72 – 68 SC
Feb 24, 2024 SC 72 – 59 MISS
Feb 6, 2024 SC 68 – 65 MISS
Mar 9, 2023 MISS 67 – 61 SC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MISS SC
Overall 12-21 11-21
Conference 3-15 4-14
Home 7-10 7-8
Away 2-9 4-8
Neutral 3-2 0-5
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.5 64.3
Avg Pts Against 69.1 72.6
Massey 4.0 (#109) -5.8 (#271)
Bradley-Terry 0.42 (#138) -0.45 (#218)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.81 (#112) -0.78 (#241)
RPI 0.528 (#127) 0.464 (#249)
Shooting & Four Factors MISS SC
FG% 42.5% 39.9%
3PT% 29.7% 32.5%
REB / G 36.5 34.6
OREB / G 12.2 12.4
AST / TO 1.05 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.6% 46.5%
TOV% 18.5% 20.0%
ORB% 34.0% 33.6%
FT Rate 20.0% 16.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 53.6%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 16.2%
DRB% 69.4% 68.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 19.1%

Game Analysis

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