Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -500 SC +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -13.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (-5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -9.6 (-12.6) | 137.3 (-12.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -10.8 (-13.8) | 137.7 (-12.7) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -10.4 (-13.4) | 139.5 (-14.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -10.1 (-13.1) | 136.8 (-11.8) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC 64 – 61 MISS |
| Feb 13, 2025 | MISS 72 – 68 SC |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SC 72 – 59 MISS |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 65 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MISS 67 – 61 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-10 | 7-8 |
| Away | 2-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 64.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#109) | -5.8 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#138) | -0.45 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#112) | -0.78 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#127) | 0.464 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 53.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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