Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | SC -188 MISS +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +3 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | SC -5.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -5.5 (-2.5) | 135.8 (-2.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -5.2 (-2.2) | 137.4 (-4.4) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -6.4 (-3.4) | 135.4 (-2.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -6.0 (-3.0) | 136.3 (-3.3) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC 64 – 61 MISS |
| Feb 13, 2025 | MISS 72 – 68 SC |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SC 72 – 59 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MISS 67 – 61 SC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | SC 64 – 61 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 9.8 (#55) | 7.9 (#73) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#4) | 2.58 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.62 (#6) | 2.92 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#27) | 0.613 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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