Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -175 SC +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +13 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -2.4 (-15.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -1.1 (-14.1) | 136.9 (-5.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -0.7 (-13.7) | 137.0 (-6.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -1.9 (-14.9) | 138.3 (-7.3) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -1.4 (-14.4) | 138.0 (-7.0) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC 64 – 61 MISS |
| Feb 13, 2025 | MISS 72 – 68 SC |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 65 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MISS 67 – 61 SC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | SC 64 – 61 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#76) | 8.5 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#30) | 2.62 (#10) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#37) | 3.24 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.594 (#32) | 0.589 (#38) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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