Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -6.0 Push |
| O/U | 133.0 Under |
| Money | SC +250 MISS -320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +6 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -7.4 (+1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -4.6 (-1.4) | 134.0 (-6.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -4.4 (-1.6) | 136.4 (-8.4) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -4.3 (-1.7) | 137.0 (-9.0) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -5.7 (-0.3) | 136.4 (-8.4) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC 64 – 61 MISS |
| Feb 13, 2025 | MISS 72 – 68 SC |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SC 72 – 59 MISS |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 65 MISS |
| Feb 11, 2023 | SC 64 – 61 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 3-15 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-10 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.3 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 69.1 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#232) | 3.9 (#111) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#164) | 0.20 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#182) | 0.57 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#222) | 0.500 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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