Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Southeastern Conference · The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · March 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MISS -7.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money MISS -310 / SC +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total MISS win
Actual SC +3 125 Lost
Massey MISS -5.2 (-8.2)
Massey Totals 146.1 (-21.1)
Bradley-Terry 72%
Weighted B-T 69%
Efficiency Plus ML MISS -5.7 (-8.7) 144.7 (-19.7) 76%
Baseline Tuned ML MISS -5.6 (-8.6) 142.7 (-17.7) 71%
Baseline ML MISS -5.6 (-8.6) 144.4 (-19.4) 71%
Baseline Plus ML MISS -4.9 (-7.9) 146.6 (-21.6) 75%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2025 MISS 7268 SC
Feb 24, 2024 SC 7259 MISS
Feb 6, 2024 SC 6865 MISS
Mar 9, 2023 MISS 6761 SC
Feb 11, 2023 SC 6461 MISS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MISS SC
Overall 15-20 13-19
Conference 4-14 4-14
Home 7-9 11-8
Away 3-7 2-8
Neutral 5-4 0-3
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.9 74.9
Avg Pts Against 76.1 76.5
Massey 7.5 (#83) 5.3 (#101)
Bradley-Terry 0.85 (#99) 0.41 (#126)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.17 (#95) 0.96 (#101)
RPI 0.505 (#178) 0.478 (#235)
Shooting & Four Factors MISS SC
FG% 44.3% 43.6%
3PT% 33.5% 30.8%
REB / G 34.2 32.5
OREB / G 10.3 9.1
AST / TO 1.42 1.35
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 50.3%
TOV% 14.1% 14.3%
ORB% 29.1% 26.6%
FT Rate 25.6% 29.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.2% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 14.7%
DRB% 66.8% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 29.7% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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