Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
Southeastern Conference · The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · March 7, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread MISS -7.5 Away covered
O/U 147.5 Under
Money MISS -310 / SC +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total MISS win
Actual SC +3 125 Lost
Massey MISS -5.2 (-8.2) — —
Massey Totals — 146.1 (-21.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 72% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 69% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MISS -4.9 (-7.9) 146.6 (-21.6) 75% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MISS -5.7 (-8.7) 144.7 (-19.7) 76% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML MISS -5.6 (-8.6) 142.7 (-17.7) 71% ✗
Baseline ML MISS -5.6 (-8.6) 144.4 (-19.4) 71% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 13, 2025 MISS 72 – 68 SC
Feb 24, 2024 SC 72 – 59 MISS
Feb 6, 2024 SC 68 – 65 MISS
Mar 9, 2023 MISS 67 – 61 SC
Feb 11, 2023 SC 64 – 61 MISS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MISS SC
Overall 15-20 13-19
Conference 4-14 4-14
Home 7-9 11-8
Away 3-7 2-8
Neutral 5-4 0-3
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.9 74.9
Avg Pts Against 76.1 76.5
Massey 7.5 (#83) 5.3 (#101)
Bradley-Terry 0.85 (#99) 0.41 (#126)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.17 (#95) 0.96 (#101)
RPI 0.505 (#178) 0.478 (#235)
Shooting & Four Factors MISS SC
FG% 44.3% 43.6%
3PT% 33.5% 30.8%
REB / G 34.2 32.5
OREB / G 10.3 9.1
AST / TO 1.42 1.35
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.4% 50.3%
TOV% 14.1% 14.3%
ORB% 29.1% 26.6%
FT Rate 25.6% 29.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.2% 51.3%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 14.7%
DRB% 66.8% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 29.7% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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