Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SC +155 MISS -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +4 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | MISS -6.7 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -4.8 (+0.8) | 137.5 (+2.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -5.3 (+1.3) | 137.2 (+2.8) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -5.4 (+1.4) | 136.1 (+3.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -4.5 (+0.5) | 137.1 (+2.9) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC 64 – 61 MISS |
| Feb 24, 2024 | SC 72 – 59 MISS |
| Feb 6, 2024 | SC 68 – 65 MISS |
| Mar 9, 2023 | MISS 67 – 61 SC |
| Feb 11, 2023 | SC 64 – 61 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-8 | 13-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#85) | 16.5 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#94) | 3.40 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#84) | 4.53 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#127) | 0.632 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 12.5% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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