Betting Lines
| Spread | AKR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | OHIO +105 AKR -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OHIO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OHIO +9 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | AKR -0.1 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+29.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AKR -0.4 (+9.4) | 146.0 (+25.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -0.1 (+8.9) | 144.1 (+26.9) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AKR -0.3 (+9.3) | 145.8 (+25.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AKR -0.5 (+9.5) | 147.2 (+23.8) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | AKR 86 – 65 OHIO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | OHIO 84 – 67 AKR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | AKR 92 – 80 OHIO |
| Mar 15, 2024 | AKR 65 – 62 OHIO |
| Feb 28, 2024 | OHIO 74 – 67 AKR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OHIO | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-1 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.8 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#152) | 4.5 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#174) | 0.82 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#174) | 0.78 (#115) |
| RPI | 0.495 (#185) | 0.541 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OHIO | AKR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.