Betting Lines
| Spread | COLG -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK +450 COLG -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLG +20 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | COLG -6.9 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLG -6.9 (-13.1) | 141.4 (-9.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLG -7.3 (-12.7) | 139.6 (-7.6) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLG -6.6 (-13.4) | 141.7 (-9.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLG -6.8 (-13.2) | 142.9 (-10.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | COLG 78 – 59 BUCK |
| Jan 17, 2026 | COLG 95 – 76 BUCK |
| Jan 21, 2025 | COLG 87 – 80 BUCK |
| Jan 5, 2025 | BUCK 66 – 60 COLG |
| Mar 10, 2024 | COLG 68 – 65 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 17-1 |
| Home | 7-7 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#293) | 3.7 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#320) | 0.37 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#321) | 0.73 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#322) | 0.529 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | COLG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 50.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.3% | 15.1% |
Game Analysis
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