Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -300 SBU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +2 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -8.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (-25.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -6.3 (-4.3) | 139.2 (-29.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -5.2 (-3.2) | 136.3 (-26.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -6.8 (-4.8) | 138.3 (-28.3) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -6.7 (-4.7) | 139.1 (-29.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | DUQ 78 – 73 SBU |
| Jan 29, 2026 | SBU 87 – 79 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SBU 64 – 59 DUQ |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SBU 70 – 63 DUQ |
| Jan 18, 2025 | DUQ 75 – 57 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#110) | -0.4 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#113) | -0.07 (#178) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#117) | -0.07 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#99) | 0.507 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.6% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.4% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.