Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UND -275 OMA +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UND -5.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -4.3 (-1.3) | 148.6 (+0.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -5.0 (-2.0) | 148.1 (+0.9) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -4.1 (-1.1) | 147.8 (+1.2) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UND -3.7 (-0.7) | 149.8 (-0.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UND 76 – 73 OMA |
| Jan 9, 2026 | OMA 90 – 79 UND |
| Feb 7, 2025 | OMA 80 – 77 UND |
| Jan 3, 2025 | OMA 95 – 85 UND |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OMA 73 – 72 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-8 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#296) | -8.7 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.28 (#293) | -1.26 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#278) | -1.61 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#312) | 0.450 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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