Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | MONM +550 HOF -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +29 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -14.6 (-14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -12.6 (-16.4) | 139.6 (+3.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -13.4 (-15.6) | 139.4 (+3.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -11.8 (-17.2) | 138.0 (+5.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -11.7 (-17.3) | 139.7 (+3.3) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 10, 2026 | HOF 75 – 69 MONM |
| Jan 31, 2026 | HOF 73 – 57 MONM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | HOF 67 – 64 MONM |
| Mar 9, 2025 | MONM 65 – 60 HOF |
| Feb 21, 2025 | MONM 68 – 62 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONM | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-26 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 3-10 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-15 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 66.9 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#354) | 4.5 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#298) | 1.16 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#306) | 1.32 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.466 (#244) | 0.578 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONM | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 26.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 21.9% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 16.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
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