Betting Lines
| Spread | DAY -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | DAY -213 SLU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAY +14 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | DAY -6.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAY -5.4 (+8.6) | 141.1 (-15.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAY -6.0 (+8.0) | 140.0 (-14.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAY -5.0 (+9.0) | 140.3 (-14.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAY -5.4 (+8.6) | 141.9 (-15.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | DAY 70 – 69 SLU |
| Feb 25, 2026 | DAY 77 – 62 SLU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SLU 102 – 71 DAY |
| Mar 5, 2025 | DAY 75 – 67 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | DAY 71 – 63 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAY | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#78) | 4.2 (#106) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#105) | 1.14 (#79) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.24 (#88) | 1.27 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#100) | 0.578 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAY | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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