Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SEMO -125 MORE +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +6 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -4.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (-19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -1.7 (-7.7) | 142.2 (-18.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -1.5 (-7.5) | 141.4 (-17.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -2.6 (-8.6) | 143.3 (-19.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -2.5 (-8.5) | 144.9 (-20.9) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MORE 66 – 61 SEMO |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SEMO 82 – 70 MORE |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MORE 71 – 69 SEMO |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SEMO 80 – 51 MORE |
| Jan 11, 2025 | MORE 67 – 56 SEMO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-17 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#254) | -6.2 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.77 (#253) | -0.32 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#261) | -0.67 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#213) | 0.499 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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