Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | NAU -138 PRST +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +1 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | NAU -3.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+20.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -2.1 (-3.1) | 152.2 (+22.8) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -1.3 (-2.3) | 149.4 (+25.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -2.6 (-3.6) | 151.1 (+23.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -2.9 (-3.9) | 152.8 (+22.2) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | PRST 77 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRST 63 – 52 NAU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PRST 58 – 46 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | PRST 80 – 69 NAU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRST 83 – 68 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-23 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-11 |
| Home | 6-8 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#246) | -4.0 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#303) | -0.74 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#285) | -0.88 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#313) | 0.461 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 35.0% |
Game Analysis
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