Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -1600 LAM +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +9 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -16.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-35.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -13.2 (-4.2) | 146.8 (-33.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -12.8 (-3.8) | 146.2 (-33.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -13.3 (-4.3) | 148.1 (-35.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -13.5 (-4.5) | 148.7 (-35.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AMCC 76 – 63 LAM |
| Dec 7, 2025 | AMCC 57 – 49 LAM |
| Feb 11, 2025 | LAM 67 – 56 AMCC |
| Dec 6, 2024 | LAM 65 – 61 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | AMCC 75 – 61 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#192) | -13.9 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#220) | -2.22 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#210) | -3.10 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#203) | 0.391 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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