Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | MSM +180 SIE -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +7 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -2.9 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -3.6 (-3.4) | 130.3 (+6.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -3.8 (-3.2) | 127.3 (+9.7) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -3.4 (-3.6) | 130.5 (+6.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -2.8 (-4.2) | 131.8 (+5.2) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | SIE 63 – 58 MSM |
| Jan 11, 2026 | SIE 67 – 50 MSM |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSM 85 – 79 SIE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SIE 82 – 68 MSM |
| Feb 4, 2024 | MSM 68 – 61 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSM | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#281) | 0.3 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#312) | -0.01 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#311) | 0.07 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#295) | 0.500 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSM | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.7% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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