Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | SELA -110 NICH +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +11 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | SELA -2.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+12.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -1.3 (-12.3) | 154.8 (+10.2) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -0.5 (-11.5) | 152.7 (+12.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -1.7 (-12.7) | 152.3 (+12.7) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -1.2 (-12.2) | 154.2 (+10.8) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NICH 68 – 60 SELA |
| Jan 24, 2026 | SELA 67 – 61 NICH |
| Feb 15, 2025 | SELA 84 – 81 NICH |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NICH 67 – 64 SELA |
| Mar 8, 2024 | NICH 80 – 54 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.8 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#277) | -4.8 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#239) | -0.62 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#256) | -0.90 (#247) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#232) | 0.484 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 38.1% |
Game Analysis
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