Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 110.5 Under |
| Money | UNT -250 CLT +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +24 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -6.3 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 105.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -7.1 (+16.9) | 117.7 (-7.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -6.8 (+17.2) | 122.2 (-12.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -6.7 (+17.3) | 123.0 (-13.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -6.3 (+17.7) | 116.2 (-6.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | CLT 80 – 79 UNT |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNT 75 – 64 CLT |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLT 56 – 44 UNT |
| Feb 24, 2023 | CLT 55 – 49 UNT |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UNT 65 – 51 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-7 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 10-3 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W5 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 56.3 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#77) | 4.4 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#31) | 0.49 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#46) | 0.68 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#26) | 0.506 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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