Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
| Money | UNT -1400 CLT +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +11 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -16.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (+12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -14.5 (-3.5) | 129.1 (+9.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -13.1 (-2.1) | 126.0 (+13.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -13.7 (-2.7) | 129.8 (+9.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -15.2 (-4.2) | 130.0 (+9.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | CLT 80 – 79 UNT |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLT 56 – 44 UNT |
| Feb 24, 2023 | CLT 55 – 49 UNT |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UNT 67 – 43 CLT |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UNT 65 – 51 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNT | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 11-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 3-15 |
| Home | 17-1 | 8-8 |
| Away | 8-5 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#71) | -5.4 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#57) | -1.05 (#266) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#60) | -1.20 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#27) | 0.442 (#293) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNT | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 32.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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