Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNT +14 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -13.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.0 (-8.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -12.1 (+1.9) | 126.1 (-10.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -14.1 (-0.1) | 125.6 (-9.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -11.6 (+2.4) | 130.5 (-14.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -12.3 (+1.7) | 131.2 (-15.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | CLT 80 – 79 UNT |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNT 75 – 64 CLT |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLT 56 – 44 UNT |
| Feb 24, 2023 | CLT 55 – 49 UNT |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UNT 67 – 43 CLT |
Game Analysis
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