Betting Lines
| Spread | UNT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 111.5 Under |
| Money | CLT +138 UNT -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLT +6 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | UNT -0.8 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 108.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNT -0.9 (+6.9) | 120.5 (-16.5) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNT -2.2 (+8.2) | 117.0 (-13.0) | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNT -1.6 (+7.6) | 123.5 (-19.5) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNT -0.3 (+6.3) | 126.0 (-22.0) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | CLT 80 – 79 UNT |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNT 75 – 64 CLT |
| Jan 20, 2024 | CLT 56 – 44 UNT |
| Feb 11, 2023 | UNT 67 – 43 CLT |
| Jan 21, 2022 | UNT 65 – 51 CLT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLT | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 31-7 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 16-4 |
| Home | 11-4 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W4 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.6 | 56.3 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#112) | 8.2 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#118) | 2.18 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#114) | 2.41 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#145) | 0.603 (#21) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLT | UNT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.1% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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