Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -700 EIU +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +11 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -13.5 (-24.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -11.1 (-22.1) | 143.6 (+13.4) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -10.7 (-21.7) | 141.6 (+15.4) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -10.7 (-21.7) | 140.8 (+16.2) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -10.5 (-21.5) | 141.2 (+15.8) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | EIU 77 – 71 SIUE |
| Feb 28, 2026 | SIUE 77 – 50 EIU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | EIU 76 – 72 SIUE |
| Feb 5, 2025 | SIUE 66 – 41 EIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | SIUE 60 – 57 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#203) | -11.6 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.09 (#180) | -2.20 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#207) | -2.76 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#145) | 0.388 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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