Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | DAV -213 FOR +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -3.7 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -1.9 (-3.9) | 142.3 (+1.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -3.1 (-5.1) | 141.0 (+3.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -1.7 (-3.7) | 141.4 (+2.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -1.6 (-3.6) | 141.8 (+2.2) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FOR 63 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 22, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DAV 80 – 69 FOR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DAV 74 – 64 FOR |
| Mar 12, 2024 | FOR 71 – 63 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-8 | 18-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#139) | 1.4 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#167) | 1.09 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#138) | 1.05 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#154) | 0.551 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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