Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -500 FOR +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -12.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -10.7 (-0.7) | 145.8 (-7.8) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -10.2 (-0.2) | 143.7 (-5.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -11.8 (-1.8) | 145.1 (-7.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -10.8 (-0.8) | 145.4 (-7.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FOR 63 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 22, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DAV 80 – 69 FOR |
| Mar 12, 2024 | FOR 71 – 63 DAV |
| Feb 21, 2024 | DAV 68 – 53 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 3-15 |
| Home | 11-6 | 8-8 |
| Away | 4-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 78.5 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#110) | -4.9 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#97) | -0.35 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#81) | -0.61 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#110) | 0.483 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.55 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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