Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -205 FOR +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +5 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -7.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -6.4 (-1.4) | 133.6 (-2.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -5.7 (-0.7) | 134.7 (-3.7) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -5.8 (-0.8) | 135.0 (-4.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -6.1 (-1.1) | 134.7 (-3.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FOR 63 – 59 DAV |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DAV 80 – 69 FOR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DAV 74 – 64 FOR |
| Mar 12, 2024 | FOR 71 – 63 DAV |
| Feb 21, 2024 | DAV 68 – 53 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#141) | -2.4 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#113) | -1.16 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#123) | -1.20 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#110) | 0.459 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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