Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | FOR +115 DAV -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -4.9 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -3.6 (+11.6) | 133.4 (+0.6) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -3.0 (+11.0) | 134.2 (-0.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -3.7 (+11.7) | 135.6 (-1.6) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -3.5 (+11.5) | 132.9 (+1.1) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FOR 63 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 22, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DAV 80 – 69 FOR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DAV 74 – 64 FOR |
| Feb 21, 2024 | DAV 68 – 53 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-11 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#185) | 3.5 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#215) | 0.35 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#229) | 0.66 (#124) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#223) | 0.516 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 22.3% |
Game Analysis
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