I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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49–11 on winners spread MAE 7.2 60 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kansas State @ Texas Tech +0.2 142.5 63% 63–71 ✓
Louisville @ Miami +16.8 147.0 90% 85–93 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Mississippi Valley State -2.9 136.3 31% 70–68 ✓
Tulsa @ UCF +15.4 144.4 88% 52–96 ✓
South Florida @ Cincinnati +12.2 148.3 86% 65–84 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh +5.5 134.2 65% 91–82 ✗
Illinois State @ Valparaiso +0.5 137.6 57% 76–81 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Vermont +5.0 139.1 76% 81–93 ✓
Columbia @ Yale +18.9 142.6 91% 68–99 ✓
Rice @ Florida International -0.4 151.3 51% 85–78 ✓
Sam Houston @ Abilene Christian -5.3 131.3 28% 77–62 ✓
Longwood @ High Point -7.1 142.3 25% 70–67 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara +4.5 149.4 72% 69–71 ✓
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +10.4 144.8 85% 67–72 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Green Bay -12.7 145.0 15% 76–71 ✓
Oakland @ Milwaukee +3.8 156.3 71% 77–80 ✓
Northeastern @ UNC Wilmington +8.8 130.9 83% 59–71 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Liberty +12.7 138.7 87% 73–83 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Rio Grande Valley -5.0 149.3 23% 82–72 ✓
Toledo @ Eastern Michigan -8.9 162.2 20% 70–63 ✓
Arizona @ Stanford -5.8 151.1 24% 79–88 ✗
Arizona State @ California -9.8 131.1 19% 70–62 ✓
Seton Hall @ Villanova +2.0 128.9 61% 54–58 ✓
Wyoming @ Boise State +12.2 137.1 88% 63–75 ✓
Southern Utah @ Utah Valley +5.6 154.0 74% 83–90 ✓
Kansas City @ St. Thomas +3.4 134.8 59% 43–73 ✓
Sacramento State @ Northern Colorado +2.3 142.0 73% 54–70 ✓
Montana State @ Idaho State -5.0 136.5 28% 58–52 ✓
Lipscomb @ North Alabama -2.7 149.1 46% 70–80 ✗
Texas A&M @ LSU -5.2 136.5 30% 74–62 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Tech +2.0 142.4 60% 75–71 ✗
Lindenwood @ Southern Indiana +7.3 142.7 80% 64–74 ✓
Montana @ Weber State +0.1 130.6 52% 74–69 ✗
UCLA @ Oregon -2.6 134.3 41% 70–63 ✓
BYU @ Gonzaga +11.1 156.1 85% 81–88 ✓
Colorado @ Utah +2.5 136.6 67% 62–73 ✓
Utah State @ San José State -4.5 137.4 38% 64–69 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Seattle U +1.7 141.2 67% 58–63 ✓
Pepperdine @ San Francisco +9.7 160.9 86% 80–88 ✓
San Diego @ Pacific +2.3 160.0 65% 94–99 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Bakersfield -5.3 144.9 23% 79–69 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara +5.5 136.1 73% 74–84 ✓
Washington @ Washington State +7.4 138.5 81% 51–56 ✓
UC Riverside @ UC Irvine +5.3 140.9 73% 64–83 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Hawai'i +2.5 131.3 57% 52–51 ✗
Temple @ Memphis +10.6 149.6 82% 77–86 ✓
Iona @ Niagara -6.3 133.0 23% 72–55 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Canisius -5.4 146.8 34% 65–85 ✗
Iowa @ Minnesota -12.4 145.5 15% 68–56 ✓
Michigan State @ Ohio State +4.8 133.7 68% 62–41 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Northern Kentucky +14.1 131.8 88% 47–86 ✓
Robert Morris @ Purdue Fort Wayne +5.1 137.4 74% 71–64 ✗
Youngstown State @ Cleveland State +0.0 146.5 56% 78–81 ✓
Purdue @ Northwestern -2.4 132.4 41% 58–64 ✗
Missouri State @ Evansville -9.5 127.8 18% 66–60 ✓
Marist @ Siena +8.2 128.8 80% 65–73 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Manhattan +0.5 126.5 55% 52–68 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Fairfield +4.9 129.7 67% 72–76 ✓
Wofford @ UNC Greensboro +8.0 135.7 83% 89–97 ✓
SMU @ Wichita State +6.2 144.5 72% 89–91 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.