Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -200 L-MD +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | L-MD +9 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -8.6 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+39.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -6.3 (-15.3) | 136.1 (+36.9) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -5.5 (-14.5) | 134.2 (+38.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -6.6 (-15.6) | 136.1 (+36.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -6.4 (-15.4) | 136.4 (+36.6) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | L-MD 89 – 84 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2026 | LEH 88 – 81 L-MD |
| Mar 5, 2025 | L-MD 77 – 73 LEH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | L-MD 76 – 60 LEH |
| Jan 5, 2025 | L-MD 80 – 74 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-14 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#269) | -10.7 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#211) | -1.90 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.54 (#222) | -2.31 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#183) | 0.401 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | L-MD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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