Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO -200 SAC +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +16 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -2.7 (+13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -1.5 (+14.5) | 141.5 (-17.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -2.3 (+13.7) | 142.0 (-18.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -3.0 (+13.0) | 144.4 (-20.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -2.3 (+13.7) | 144.6 (-20.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | UNCO 95 – 79 SAC |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SAC 93 – 89 UNCO |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UNCO 77 – 61 SAC |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UNCO 68 – 64 SAC |
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNCO 80 – 75 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 69.2 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#236) | -3.0 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#246) | -0.52 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#245) | -0.68 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#258) | 0.475 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 17.5% |
Game Analysis
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