Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | ORE +105 UCLA -133 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +7 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -4.8 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -2.0 (-5.0) | 135.9 (-2.9) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -2.6 (-4.4) | 134.3 (-1.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -1.5 (-5.5) | 135.8 (-2.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -1.6 (-5.4) | 136.4 (-3.4) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UCLA 73 – 57 ORE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | UCLA 74 – 63 ORE |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCLA 78 – 52 ORE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCLA 73 – 71 ORE |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ORE 68 – 66 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 31-6 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 18-2 |
| Home | 15-6 | 17-0 |
| Away | 4-6 | 9-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 60.7 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#44) | 18.6 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#60) | 2.78 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.81 (#62) | 3.34 (#12) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#66) | 0.634 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 25.0% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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