Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -175 UCLA +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +2 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -2.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -3.6 (-5.6) | 139.3 (+4.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -3.7 (-5.7) | 137.3 (+6.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -4.6 (-6.6) | 136.9 (+7.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -4.1 (-6.1) | 136.6 (+7.4) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UCLA 73 – 57 ORE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | UCLA 74 – 63 ORE |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCLA 78 – 52 ORE |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ORE 68 – 66 UCLA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UCLA 71 – 63 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 14.8 (#22) | 16.7 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.76 (#1) | 1.54 (#66) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.61 (#1) | 2.30 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.742 (#2) | 0.573 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 1.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 37.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 41.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 28.1% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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