Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UCLA +110 ORE -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +8 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -2.2 (+10.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -1.0 (+9.0) | 134.0 (-0.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -1.1 (+9.1) | 131.8 (+2.2) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -0.7 (+8.7) | 133.2 (+0.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -0.7 (+8.7) | 133.6 (+0.4) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UCLA 73 – 57 ORE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | UCLA 74 – 63 ORE |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCLA 78 – 52 ORE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCLA 73 – 71 ORE |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ORE 68 – 66 UCLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#113) | 9.7 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#148) | 1.82 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#137) | 2.13 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#177) | 0.591 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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