Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -200 UCLA +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +2 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -3.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -2.7 (-0.7) | 132.3 (+1.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -2.5 (-0.5) | 130.7 (+3.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -3.1 (-1.1) | 132.8 (+1.2) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -2.7 (-0.7) | 133.9 (+0.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UCLA 73 – 57 ORE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | UCLA 74 – 63 ORE |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCLA 78 – 52 ORE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCLA 73 – 71 ORE |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UCLA 71 – 63 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#67) | 5.2 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#68) | 0.71 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#71) | 1.00 (#111) |
| RPI | 0.555 (#78) | 0.509 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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