They put a hot wire to my head / Because of the things I did and said "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
UCLA Bruins
74 63
FINAL Conference
Oregon Ducks
Big Ten Conference · Pauley Pavilion · December 6, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UCLA -8.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money UCLA -455 / ORE +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual UCLA +11 137 Won
Massey UCLA -14.5 (-3.5)
Massey Totals 144.1 (-7.1)
Bradley-Terry 96%
Weighted B-T 97%
Efficiency Plus ML UCLA -11.9 (-0.9) 142.4 (-5.4) 84%
Baseline Tuned ML UCLA -13.3 (-2.3) 142.0 (-5.0) 88%
Baseline ML UCLA -13.5 (-2.5) 144.1 (-7.1) 87%
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -13.8 (-2.8) 142.4 (-5.4) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 UCLA 7357 ORE
Jan 31, 2025 UCLA 7852 ORE
Dec 8, 2024 UCLA 7371 ORE
Mar 14, 2024 ORE 6866 UCLA
Feb 4, 2024 UCLA 7163 ORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UCLA ORE
Overall 24-12 12-20
Conference 13-7 5-15
Home 17-1 10-7
Away 4-6 2-8
Neutral 3-5 0-5
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.1 70.8
Avg Pts Against 71.1 73.9
Massey 9.6 (#60) 0.1 (#167)
Bradley-Terry 2.08 (#45) -0.09 (#186)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.44 (#69) 0.11 (#174)
RPI 0.553 (#95) 0.537 (#121)
Shooting & Four Factors UCLA ORE
FG% 48.6% 41.1%
3PT% 36.5% 31.9%
REB / G 34.0 38.5
OREB / G 10.8 14.4
AST / TO 1.52 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.8% 48.1%
TOV% 16.4% 19.2%
ORB% 34.0% 38.0%
FT Rate 25.2% 30.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 17.2%
DRB% 69.4% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.9% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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