We are not monsters, we're moral people / And yet we have the strength to do this. "Nemesis" - Shriekback
UCLA Bruins
74 – 63
FINAL Conference
Oregon Ducks
Big Ten Conference · Pauley Pavilion · December 6, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UCLA -8.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Under
Money UCLA -455 / ORE +350
Model Predictions
Spread Total UCLA win
Actual UCLA +11 137 Won
Massey UCLA -14.5 (-3.5) — —
Massey Totals — 144.1 (-7.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UCLA -13.8 (-2.8) 142.4 (-5.4) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UCLA -11.9 (-0.9) 142.4 (-5.4) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UCLA -13.3 (-2.3) 142.0 (-5.0) 88% ✓
Baseline ML UCLA -13.5 (-2.5) 144.1 (-7.1) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 29, 2026 UCLA 73 – 57 ORE
Jan 31, 2025 UCLA 78 – 52 ORE
Dec 8, 2024 UCLA 73 – 71 ORE
Mar 14, 2024 ORE 68 – 66 UCLA
Feb 4, 2024 UCLA 71 – 63 ORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UCLA ORE
Overall 24-12 12-20
Conference 13-7 5-15
Home 17-1 10-7
Away 4-6 2-8
Neutral 3-5 0-5
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 77.1 70.8
Avg Pts Against 71.1 73.9
Massey 9.6 (#60) 0.1 (#167)
Bradley-Terry 2.08 (#45) -0.09 (#186)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.44 (#69) 0.11 (#174)
RPI 0.553 (#95) 0.537 (#121)
Shooting & Four Factors UCLA ORE
FG% 48.6% 41.1%
3PT% 36.5% 31.9%
REB / G 34.0 38.5
OREB / G 10.8 14.4
AST / TO 1.52 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.8% 48.1%
TOV% 16.4% 19.2%
ORB% 34.0% 38.0%
FT Rate 25.2% 30.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.3% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 17.2%
DRB% 69.4% 69.4%
Opp FT Rate 20.9% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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