Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ORE +170 UCLA -205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +16 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | UCLA -2.8 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -3.0 (-13.0) | 136.6 (-6.6) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -2.2 (-13.8) | 136.1 (-6.1) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -3.1 (-12.9) | 135.7 (-5.7) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -4.1 (-11.9) | 135.3 (-5.3) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | UCLA 74 – 63 ORE |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCLA 78 – 52 ORE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCLA 73 – 71 ORE |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ORE 68 – 66 UCLA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UCLA 71 – 63 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-7 | 17-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 6.2 (#96) | 12.2 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#117) | 2.28 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#104) | 2.70 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#118) | 0.572 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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