Betting Lines
| Spread | UCLA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | UCLA -200 ORE +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCLA +26 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UCLA -4.1 (+21.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCLA -3.7 (+22.3) | 141.1 (-11.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCLA -3.7 (+22.3) | 141.7 (-11.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCLA -3.7 (+22.3) | 143.3 (-13.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCLA -4.3 (+21.7) | 142.9 (-12.9) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | UCLA 73 – 57 ORE |
| Dec 6, 2025 | UCLA 74 – 63 ORE |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCLA 73 – 71 ORE |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ORE 68 – 66 UCLA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UCLA 71 – 63 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCLA | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.2 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#28) | 14.4 (#32) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#37) | 3.27 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#36) | 3.83 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#42) | 0.643 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCLA | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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