Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Boise State Broncos
75 – 63
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · ExtraMile Arena · February 12, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -12.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money BOIS -800 / WYO +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total BOIS win
Actual BOIS +12 138 Won
Massey BOIS -16.3 (-4.3) — —
Massey Totals — 134.1 (+3.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 97% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -13.1 (-1.1) 137.2 (+0.8) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BOIS -12.2 (-0.2) 137.1 (+0.9) 88% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BOIS -13.1 (-1.1) 136.5 (+1.5) 87% ✓
Baseline ML BOIS -13.9 (-1.9) 136.6 (+1.4) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 BOIS 72 – 62 WYO
Jan 21, 2026 BOIS 81 – 65 WYO
Jan 15, 2025 BOIS 96 – 55 WYO
Jan 1, 2025 BOIS 67 – 58 WYO
Feb 25, 2024 BOIS 92 – 72 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BOIS WYO
Overall 24-10 9-22
Conference 13-5 4-14
Home 14-1 7-8
Away 5-6 1-8
Neutral 5-3 1-6
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 71.5 68.1
Avg Pts Against 65.0 72.2
Massey 12.1 (#28) -0.6 (#181)
Bradley-Terry 2.04 (#34) -0.67 (#242)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.70 (#28) -0.60 (#230)
RPI 0.595 (#28) 0.472 (#235)
Shooting & Four Factors BOIS WYO
FG% 45.0% 44.6%
3PT% 35.7% 34.6%
REB / G 36.1 32.4
OREB / G 8.5 7.9
AST / TO 0.98 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 52.5%
TOV% 16.9% 18.2%
ORB% 25.8% 24.3%
FT Rate 21.0% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.3% 53.6%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 16.2%
DRB% 77.7% 75.7%
Opp FT Rate 18.5% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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