I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash
Boise State Broncos
75 63
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · ExtraMile Arena · February 12, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -12.5 Away covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money BOIS -800 / WYO +500
Model Predictions
Spread Total BOIS win
Actual BOIS +12 138 Won
Massey BOIS -16.3 (-4.3)
Massey Totals 134.1 (+3.9)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 98%
Efficiency Plus ML BOIS -12.2 (-0.2) 137.1 (+0.9) 88%
Baseline Tuned ML BOIS -13.1 (-1.1) 136.5 (+1.5) 87%
Baseline ML BOIS -13.9 (-1.9) 136.6 (+1.4) 87%
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -13.1 (-1.1) 137.2 (+0.8) 87%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 BOIS 7262 WYO
Jan 21, 2026 BOIS 8165 WYO
Jan 15, 2025 BOIS 9655 WYO
Jan 1, 2025 BOIS 6758 WYO
Feb 25, 2024 BOIS 9272 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BOIS WYO
Overall 24-10 9-22
Conference 13-5 4-14
Home 14-1 7-8
Away 5-6 1-8
Neutral 5-3 1-6
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 71.5 68.1
Avg Pts Against 65.0 72.2
Massey 12.1 (#28) -0.6 (#181)
Bradley-Terry 2.04 (#34) -0.67 (#242)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.70 (#28) -0.60 (#230)
RPI 0.595 (#28) 0.472 (#235)
Shooting & Four Factors BOIS WYO
FG% 45.0% 44.6%
3PT% 35.7% 34.6%
REB / G 36.1 32.4
OREB / G 8.5 7.9
AST / TO 0.98 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 52.5%
TOV% 16.9% 18.2%
ORB% 25.8% 24.3%
FT Rate 21.0% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.3% 53.6%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 16.2%
DRB% 77.7% 75.7%
Opp FT Rate 18.5% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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