I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Boise State Broncos
96 – 55
FINAL Conference
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · ExtraMile Arena · January 15, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -13.5 Home covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money BOIS -1000 / WYO +600
Model Predictions
Spread Total BOIS win
Actual BOIS +41 151 Won
Massey BOIS -13.5 (+27.5) — —
Massey Totals — 136.9 (+14.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -11.9 (+29.1) 133.5 (+17.5) 86% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BOIS -12.4 (+28.6) 132.8 (+18.2) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BOIS -11.3 (+29.7) 137.1 (+13.9) 87% ✓
Baseline ML BOIS -11.8 (+29.2) 136.5 (+14.5) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 BOIS 72 – 62 WYO
Jan 21, 2026 BOIS 81 – 65 WYO
Jan 1, 2025 BOIS 67 – 58 WYO
Feb 25, 2024 BOIS 92 – 72 WYO
Feb 12, 2023 BOIS 75 – 63 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BOIS WYO
Overall 26-11 12-20
Conference 14-6 5-15
Home 13-3 8-7
Away 6-5 3-10
Neutral 7-3 1-3
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 75.1 65.8
Avg Pts Against 67.0 70.7
Massey 10.2 (#58) 0.5 (#153)
Bradley-Terry 1.46 (#69) -0.01 (#175)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.97 (#64) 0.10 (#160)
RPI 0.567 (#61) 0.492 (#188)
Shooting & Four Factors BOIS WYO
FG% 46.4% 45.0%
3PT% 31.6% 37.0%
REB / G 37.4 35.1
OREB / G 11.2 10.2
AST / TO 1.33 0.80
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.6% 52.3%
TOV% 16.8% 20.9%
ORB% 35.0% 31.4%
FT Rate 31.2% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.3% 49.2%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 16.3%
DRB% 76.0% 73.6%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 27.1%

Game Analysis

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